← Explore · Market EUCLIMATE-2030

Will the EU meet its climate goals?

35.3% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 59.6¢

The market prices this at 10.9%, down 33.1pt over 24h, on a 48.6¢ spread.

Implied probability10.9%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 59.6¢ / 35.3¢

Spread48.6¢ (137.7%)

Change 24h-33.15pt

Change 7d-36.10pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$140

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-7.67

RSI (14, hourly)22.9

Realized vol 7d4.67pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2310d 7h.

Time to resolve2310d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%