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When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jan 1, 203185%Before Oct 1, 202880%Before Jan 1, 203079%Before Jan 1, 202978%

$27K 24h vol

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Adam Telle49%Sean Parnell30%Michael Obadal6%Marc Andersen6%

$7K 24h vol

2030 FIFA World Cup Champion

France11%Spain11%England7%Brazil6%

$2K 24h vol

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eisenkot66%Naftali Bennett14%Israel Katz9%Avigdor Lieberman3%

$2K 24h vol

Next German federal election winner?

AfD85%CDU/CSU15%SPD4%Greens3%

$2K 24h vol

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Anthropic94%OpenAI7%

$1K 24h vol

Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

Pepas34%Rockstar30%Look at Me!28%Mask Off24%

$740 24h vol

US meets its climate goals?

By 203016%By 20257%

$728 24h vol

North Dakota St. to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season

25%chance · Yes

$702 24h vol

When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?

Before Jan 1, 202871%Before Feb 1, 202745%Before Jan 1, 202740%Before Dec 1, 202622%

$557 24h vol

US nominal GDP growth in 2036

Above 1.5%75%Above 2.5%74%Above 2.0%72%Above 1.0%71%

$530 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2035?

2.1% to 2.5%14%1.6% to 2.0%13%0.0% or Below12%2.6% to 3.0%11%

$210 24h vol

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

Ding Xuexiang27%Li Xi18%Li Qiang16%Zhao Leji16%

$207 24h vol

Chicago Sports: Championships before Jul 1, 2030

1+ championships49%2+ championships16%3+ championships8%4+ championships5%

$182 24h vol

Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries81%Jim Jordan10%Steve Scalise2%

$151 24h vol

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

United States52%China32%India1%Russia0%

$140 24h vol

EU meets its 2030 climate goals?

11%chance · Yes

$140 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2033?

1.1% to 1.5%49%1.6% to 2.0%12%0.0% or Below10%0.1% to 0.5%9%

$129 24h vol

US real GDP growth in 2036?

1.6% to 2.0%25%0.0% or Below11%2.6% to 3.0%9%2.1% to 2.5%8%

$104 24h vol

Kirk Cousins: Retirement

Before the 2029-30 season58%Before the 2028-29 season34%Before the 2027-28 season21%Before the 2026-27 season7%

$100 24h vol

Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

5%chance · Yes

$98 24h vol

Lane Johnson: Retirement

Before the 2029-30 season99%Before the 2028-29 season80%Before the 2027-28 season78%Before the 2026-27 season25%

$96 24h vol

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Before 204051%Before 203544%Before 203033%

$84 24h vol

Roch Cholowsky: Debut Date

Before Nov 1, 203190%Before Nov 1, 203088%Before Aug 1, 203086%Before May 1, 203083%

$66 24h vol

Britney Spears biopic: Actress cast as Britney Spears

Olivia Holt32%Sabrina Carpenter13%Sydney Sweeney11%Millie Bobby Brown10%

$41 24h vol

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

46%chance · Yes

$39 24h vol

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

78%chance · Yes

$32 24h vol

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

29%chance · Yes

$30 24h vol

West Virginia to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season

17%chance · Yes

$28 24h vol

India meets its 2030 climate goals?

61%chance · Yes

$25 24h vol

The Last of Us S3: Release date

Before Jan 202880%Before Jul 202725%Before Apr 202720%Before Jan 20276%

$23 24h vol

When will Joe Flacco retire?

Before the 2028-29 season91%Before the 2027-28 season57%Before the 2026-27 season9%

$22 24h vol

Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?

28%chance · Yes

$17 24h vol

Who will the next Pope be?

Pietro Parolin5%Pierbattista Pizzaballa5%Luis Antonio Tagle4%Matteo Zuppi4%

$16 24h vol

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare50%Delia Velculescu34%Sorin Grindeanu9%Dacian Cioloș7%

$11 24h vol

Next Miami Vice film: Cast

Glen Powell28%Miles Teller20%Richard Madden10%Oscar Isaac9%

$10 24h vol

US unemployment rate at year-end 2036

Above 3.0%87%Above 3.5%79%Above 4.0%74%Above 4.5%66%

$9 24h vol

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Emmanuel Macron65%Friedrich Merz7%Donald Trump6%Andy Burnham5%

$8 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Above 2.25%72%Above 1.25%71%Above 1.50%71%Above 1.00%68%

$8 24h vol

Fed funds rate at end of 2030

Above 1.25%75%Above 1.00%73%Above 2.25%73%Above 1.75%72%

$8 24h vol

Canadian Team to Win the Stanley Cup® Before the 2030-31 Season

35%chance · Yes

$8 24h vol

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Oil60%Coal10%Gas6%Nuclear3%

$7 24h vol

Mike Evans: Retirement

Before the 2027-28 season98%Before the 2028-29 season51%Before the 2029-30 season51%Before the 2026-27 season2%

$7 24h vol

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

21%chance · Yes

$6 24h vol

Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030

46%chance · Yes

$6 24h vol

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?

Ramp82%Brex9%

$5 24h vol

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

12%chance · Yes

$4 24h vol

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

10%chance · Yes

$4 24h vol