| Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027? | 27.0% | +10.0pt | n/a | 2,581 contracts | n/a | $0 | high (65) | -24% |
| Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027? | 9.0% | +3.0pt | n/a | 2,525 contracts | n/a | $0 | high (65) | -60% |
| Will Italy win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup? | 4.0% | +1.6pt | n/a | 2,343 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House? | 74.0% | -16.1pt | n/a | 1,583 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | +5% |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? | 10.0% | +1.0pt | n/a | 816 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (35) | -60% |
| Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? | 56.3% | -2.6pt | n/a | 452 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | +2% |
| Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2028? | 41.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 446 contracts | n/a | $0 | high (65) | -9% |
| What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? | 61.0% | +2.0pt | n/a | 311 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | +2% |
| Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office? | 1.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 307 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Michael Faulkender be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030? | 82.0% | -7.0pt | n/a | 271 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | +7% |
| Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? | 42.0% | +2.0pt | n/a | 260 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -9% |
| Will Riemann be solved next before 2045? | 5.0% | +4.0pt | n/a | 227 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House? | 10.0% | +1.2pt | n/a | 227 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? | 7.1% | -7.9pt | n/a | 204 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first? | 94.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 201 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (35) | +4% |
| Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030? | 80.0% | -1.0pt | n/a | 193 contracts | n/a | $0 | high (65) | +5% |
| Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film? | 94.0% | +77.0pt | n/a | 191 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (55) | +4% |
| Will USA win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup? | 2.4% | -0.2pt | n/a | 182 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup? | 15.6% | -0.1pt | n/a | 157 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -42% |
| Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2030 be above 4.5%? | 16.0% | -19.0pt | n/a | 156 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -42% |
| Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028? | 69.0% | -2.0pt | n/a | 140 contracts | n/a | $0 | high (65) | +5% |
| Who will the next Pope be? | 13.0% | +4.4pt | n/a | 133 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -42% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045? | 12.0% | -4.0pt | n/a | 115 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -42% |
| Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2028? | 51.0% | -1.0pt | n/a | 99 contracts | n/a | $0 | high (65) | +2% |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 95 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? | 30.2% | -0.3pt | n/a | 94 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -24% |
| How high will unemployment get before 2030? | 7.0% | -16.0pt | n/a | 88 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Barry Keoghan perform as Villain in the next James Bond film? | 23.0% | -28.0pt | n/a | 82 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (35) | -24% |
| Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2029? | 33.0% | +33.0pt | n/a | 80 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (30) | -24% |
| Will Meta's $25 billion New Mexico penalty be cut on appeal? | 71.0% | +71.0pt | n/a | 78 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (40) | +5% |
| Will P vs NP be resolved before 2029? | 18.0% | -7.0pt | n/a | 72 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (25) | -42% |
| Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? | 65.0% | +4.0pt | n/a | 70 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | +2% |
| How high will unemployment get before 2030? | 10.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 68 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker of the House? | 1.0% | -2.5pt | n/a | 65 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Idris Elba perform as M in the next James Bond film? | 14.0% | +2.0pt | n/a | 62 contracts | n/a | $0 | medium (35) | -42% |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035? | 2.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 56 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? | 2.0% | -5.0pt | n/a | 56 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? | 15.0% | +0.0pt | n/a | 54 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -42% |
| Who will the next Pope be? | 2.4% | -1.4pt | n/a | 54 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -60% |
| Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? | 36.0% | +4.0pt | n/a | 51 contracts | n/a | $0 | low (15) | -9% |