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← Explore · Market EVSHARE-30JAN-30

EV market share in 2030?

44.0% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 46.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 42.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 44.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (9.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $40
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.93
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1245d 7h.

Time to resolve1245d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth