← Explore · Market KXACTORTOMCRUZ-30-TOM

Will Tom Cruise be cast in a Film With Ana de Armas?

42.0% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 45.0¢

The market prices this at 15.0%, up 15.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%

Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 42.0¢

Spread6.0¢ (14.3%)

Change 24h+15.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40 / $47

Imbalance3% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score20.0 / 100

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 10.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-10.68

RSI (14, hourly)50.8

Realized vol 7d3.54pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1579d 6h.

Time to resolve1579d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%