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← Explore · Market KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-BT

Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?

26.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 29.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (18.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$122 / $35
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3041d 7h.

Time to resolve3041d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth