← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-CR

Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave office next in this set?

15.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 19.0¢

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 15.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (45.2%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+8.40pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56 / $229

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.1 / 100

RSI 86 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.63

RSI (14, hourly)85.7

Realized vol 7d1.51pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3040d 6h.

Time to resolve3040d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%