← Explore · Market KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-FT
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave office next in this set?
6.0% implied · bid 2.6¢ · ask 9.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.9%, flat over 24h, on a 6.8¢ spread.
Implied probability9.9%
Bid / ask / mid2.6¢ / 9.4¢ / 6.0¢
Spread6.8¢ (113.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score16.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3041d 7h.
Time to resolve3041d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.
Order-book depth
Order book unavailable.