← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXAFRICALEADEROUT-35-WR

Will William Ruto leave office next in this set?

7.6% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 11.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 6.8¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 11.0¢ / 7.6¢

Spread6.8¢ (89.5%)

Change 24h+3.50pt

Change 7d+3.85pt

Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $156

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score16.1 / 100

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.79

RSI (14, hourly)83.5

Realized vol 7d2.18pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3040d 6h.

Time to resolve3040d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%