← Explore · Market KXAGICO-COMP-28Q1
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2028?
75.0% implied · bid 59.0¢ · ask 91.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, up 26.5pt over 24h, on a 32.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid59.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 75.0¢
Spread32.0¢ (42.7%)
Change 24h+26.50pt
Change 7d+26.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$386
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 96 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.99
RSI (14, hourly)96.5
Realized vol 7d1.94pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%