← Explore · Market KXAGICO-COMP-28Q3
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?
79.0% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.0%, up 18.0pt over 24h, on a 18.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 79.0¢
Spread18.0¢ (22.8%)
Change 24h+18.00pt
Change 7d+17.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$1,116
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 97 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean7.63
RSI (14, hourly)97.4
Realized vol 7d0.90pt
Change 1h+10.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%