← Explore · Market KXAGICO-COMP-28Q4
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?
82.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 91.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 78.0%, up 10.0pt over 24h, on a 17.0¢ spread.
Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 82.5¢
Spread17.0¢ (20.6%)
Change 24h+10.00pt
Change 7d+10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 67% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$945
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance67% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 8.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean8.10
RSI (14, hourly)91.7
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h+5.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%