← Explore · Market KXAGICO-COMP-29
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?
83.0% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 89.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 79.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 12.0¢ spread.
Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 83.0¢
Spread12.0¢ (14.5%)
Change 24h+5.00pt
Change 7d+5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$29
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean5.65
RSI (14, hourly)91.7
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h+2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%