← Explore · Market KXAGICO-COMP-30
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?
83.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 85.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability85.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (10.8%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 6/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 81% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$27
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,105 / $148
Imbalance81% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 24 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.54
RSI (14, hourly)24.1
Realized vol 7d0.87pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1580d 7h.
Time to resolve1580d 7h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%