← Explore · Market KXAIGROWTHBET-34JAN26-B15

Will maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be below 15%?

75.0% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 80.0¢

The market prices this at 75.0%, up 8.0pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%

Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 75.0¢

Spread10.0¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h+8.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$350 / $400

Imbalance29% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.4 / 100

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.29

RSI (14, hourly)58.4

Realized vol 7d4.97pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2708d 4h.

Time to resolve2708d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%