← Explore · Market KXAIGROWTHBET-34JAN26-T15

Will maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be at least 15%?

24.5% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 29.0¢

The market prices this at 30.0%, down 24.5pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability30.0%

Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 24.5¢

Spread9.0¢ (36.7%)

Change 24h-24.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$100 / $3

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score5.1 / 100

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.82

RSI (14, hourly)45.9

Realized vol 7d5.40pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2708d 4h.

Time to resolve2708d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%