← Explore · Market KXCANELECTION-29OCT15-LIB
Will Liberal Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?
60.0% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 64.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.0%, flat over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 60.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$280 / $320
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1502d 6h.
Time to resolve1502d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.