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← Explore · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-BAY30JUL01W4GS-1

Golden State Pro Basketball team, San Francisco Pro Football team, San Francisco Pro Baseball team, and the San Jose Sharks: At least 1 championship after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

39.5% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 43.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 35.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability35.0%
Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 39.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (17.7%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$72 / $90
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32
RSI (14, hourly)50.7
Realized vol 7d4.09pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1396d 6h.

Time to resolve1396d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth