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← Explore · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-BAY30JUL01W4GS-4

Golden State Pro Basketball team, San Francisco Pro Football team, San Francisco Pro Baseball team, and the San Jose Sharks: At least 4 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

2.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 4.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 4.0¢ / 2.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (120.0%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $8
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d3.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1396d 5h.

Time to resolve1396d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth