a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-CHI30JUL01BBCWB-3

Chicago Pro Basketball team, Chicago Pro Football team, Chicago C Pro Baseball Team, Chicago WS Pro Baseball team, and the Chicago Blackhawks: At least 3 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

4.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 5.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$606 / $178
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.45
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1396d 6h.

Time to resolve1396d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth