a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXCITYCHAMPS-PHI30JUL017EPF-3

Philadelphia Pro Basketball team, Philadelphia Pro Football team, Philadelphia Pro Baseball team, and the Philadelphia Flyers: At least 3 championships after Jun 9, 2026 and before Jul 1, 2030

6.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (76.9%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $2
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 12.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-12.29
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1396d 5h.

Time to resolve1396d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth