← Explore · Market KXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30-27JAN01
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2027?
11.0% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 11.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (72.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $30
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.45
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.89pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 7h.
Time to resolve1222d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%