← Explore · Market KXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30-28JAN01
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2028?
31.0% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 31.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (25.8%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$53 / $70
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-4.64
RSI (14, hourly)53.8
Realized vol 7d1.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%