← Explore · Market KXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30-29JAN01
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2029?
41.0% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 45.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 41.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (19.5%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $90
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.72
RSI (14, hourly)51.9
Realized vol 7d1.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%