← Explore · Market KXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30-30JAN01
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2030?
51.0% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 55.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (15.7%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$94 / $110
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.27
RSI (14, hourly)51.0
Realized vol 7d2.60pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 7h.
Time to resolve1222d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%