← Explore · Market KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-35
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
42.0% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 43.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 41.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability41.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 42.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+9.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $205
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.07
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.42pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3405d 6h.
Time to resolve3405d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%