← Explore · Market KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

37.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 38.0¢

The market prices this at 37.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability37.0%

Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$452 / $108

Imbalance16% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1hn/a

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%

No price history yet.

No history yet.