← Explore · Market KXECCOMPACT-30

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?

8.6% implied · bid 5.2¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.8¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.2¢ / 12.0¢ / 8.6¢

Spread6.8¢ (79.1%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10 / $24

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score16.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.36

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d3.12pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 7h.

Time to resolve1215d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%