← Explore · Market KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01-27JAN01

Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027?

14.5% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 25.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 14.5¢

Spread25.0¢ (172.4%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance23% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.23

RSI (14, hourly)13.8

Realized vol 7d2.80pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%