← Explore · Market KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01-28JAN01
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2028?
27.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, down 27.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (25.5%)
Change 24h-27.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$231 / $310
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.65
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d6.60pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 6h.
Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%