← Explore · Market KXELECTUKRAINE-30JAN01-30JAN01
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2030?
71.0% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 72.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 70.0%, down 7.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability70.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h-7.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $720
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.73
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d4.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 6h.
Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%