← Explore · Market KXELONMARS-99
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
11.0% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$543 / $572
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.97
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26629d 7h.
Time to resolve26629d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%