← Explore · Market KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
When will a supervolcano next erupt?
29.0% implied · bid 27.9¢ · ask 30.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 27.9%, down 1.3pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.
Implied probability27.9%
Bid / ask / mid27.9¢ / 30.2¢ / 29.0¢
Spread2.3¢ (7.9%)
Change 24h-1.30pt
Change 7d-0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$17
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $40
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.37
RSI (14, hourly)41.7
Realized vol 7d0.87pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8520d 7h.
Time to resolve8520d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%