← Explore · Market KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-FRA

Will France vote to leave the EU before 2030?

4.5% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 6.9¢

The market prices this at 6.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.8¢ spread.

Implied probability6.8%

Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 6.9¢ / 4.5¢

Spread4.8¢ (106.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.05pt

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $69

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score26.0 / 100

RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.61

RSI (14, hourly)50.5

Realized vol 7d0.91pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%