← Explore · Market KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-GER
Will Germany vote to leave the EU before 2030?
3.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 5.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, down 10.0pt over 24h, on a 4.1¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 5.1¢ / 3.0¢
Spread4.1¢ (134.4%)
Change 24h-9.95pt
Change 7d+0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $51
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score29.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.27
RSI (14, hourly)35.3
Realized vol 7d4.89pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 6h.
Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%