← Explore · Market KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-HUN

Will Hungary vote to leave the EU before 2030?

5.1% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 9.1¢

The market prices this at 7.8%, down 17.4pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.8%

Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 9.1¢ / 5.1¢

Spread8.0¢ (156.9%)

Change 24h-17.40pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$116 / $91

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.1 / 100

RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51

RSI (14, hourly)27.4

Realized vol 7d13.65pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%