← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-SPA

Will Spain vote to leave the EU before 2030?

3.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 5.2¢

The market prices this at 4.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.2¢ spread.

Implied probability4.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 5.2¢ / 3.1¢

Spread4.2¢ (135.5%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 29/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $52

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score29.0 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d4.95pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1214d 6h.

Time to resolve1214d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%