← Explore · Market KXEUREF-30-FRA
Will France hold a referendum on leaving the EU?
3.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 6.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, flat over 24h, on a 5.1¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 6.1¢ / 3.5¢
Spread5.1¢ (143.7%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score24.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 7h.
Time to resolve1215d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.
Order-book depth
Order book unavailable.