← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXEUREF-30-GRE

Will Greece hold a referendum on leaving the EU?

4.5% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 8.1¢

The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 7.1¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 8.1¢ / 4.5¢

Spread7.1¢ (156.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.05pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $81

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score14.5 / 100

RSI 37 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.25

RSI (14, hourly)36.5

Realized vol 7d8.90pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1214d 6h.

Time to resolve1214d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%