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← Explore · Market KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2028

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2028 F1 season?

21.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 28.0%, flat over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 21.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (32.6%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $50
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1305d 5h.

Time to resolve1305d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth