← Explore · Market KXFDAAPPROVE-MDMA-29JAN01

Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2029?

53.0% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

The market prices this at 51.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability51.0%

Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 53.0¢

Spread6.0¢ (11.3%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $280

Imbalance22% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score20.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.01

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d3.05pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1945d 6h.

Time to resolve1945d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%