← Explore · Market KXFDAAPPROVE-MDMA-31JAN01

Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?

54.0% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

The market prices this at 53.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.0%

Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 54.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (7.4%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24 / $280

Imbalance15% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.2 / 100

RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40

RSI (14, hourly)49.3

Realized vol 7d4.16pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1945d 7h.

Time to resolve1945d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%