← Explore · Market KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
39.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 42.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 41.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability41.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 39.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (12.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$199 / $469
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.95
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d0.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2311d 6h.
Time to resolve2311d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%