← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXFDAVERVE102-VERV-33JAN01
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?
75.0% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 79.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 75.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 75.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (10.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$355 / $395
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.10
RSI (14, hourly)49.5
Realized vol 7d5.72pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3040d 5h.
Time to resolve3040d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%