← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-31JAN01-T1.00
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.00%?
85.5% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 98.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 73.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 25.0¢ spread.
Implied probability73.0%
Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 85.5¢
Spread25.0¢ (29.2%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 74% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance74% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 89 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-6.09
RSI (14, hourly)88.9
Realized vol 7d1.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1586d 22h.
Time to resolve1586d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%