← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-31JAN01-T1.50
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.50%?
70.0% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 92.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, flat over 24h, on a 44.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 70.0¢
Spread44.0¢ (62.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance52% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1586d 21h.
Time to resolve1586d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.