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← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-31JAN01-T2.25

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.25%?

69.0% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 93.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 73.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 48.0¢ spread.

Implied probability73.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 69.0¢
Spread48.0¢ (69.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-13.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.46
RSI (14, hourly)46.7
Realized vol 7d1.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1586d 22h.

Time to resolve1586d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth