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← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-32JAN01-T1.00

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.00%?

88.0% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 88.0%, flat over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 88.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (6.8%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1951d 21h.

Time to resolve1951d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.