← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-32JAN01-T1.25
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.25%?
83.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 96.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 77.0%, flat over 24h, on a 25.0¢ spread.
Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread25.0¢ (29.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance29% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1951d 21h.
Time to resolve1951d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.