← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-32JAN01-T2.50
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.50%?
60.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 80.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 39.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread39.0¢ (64.5%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7d-15.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.69
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d3.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1951d 21h.
Time to resolve1951d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%